Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Asset World Corp Public Company Limited (AWC-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.85 - $2.87$2.32
Multi-Stage$4.19 - $4.62$4.40
Blended Fair Value$3.36
Current Price$2.24
Upside50.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.030.010.000.010.000.000.000.130.00
YoY Growth--56.26%197.41%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.03%0.77%0.19%0.00%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,381.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,400.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,980.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,276.34797.71478.63
Cash Retained (M)3,980.773,980.773,980.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,276.34-797.71-478.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,704.433,183.063,502.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32,055.7832,055.7832,055.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.85$2.32$2.87
Upside / Downside-17.29%3.69%27.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,381.686,317.876,254.696,192.146,130.226,068.926,250.99
Payout Ratio37.62%48.10%58.57%69.05%79.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,400.913,038.743,663.574,275.604,875.025,462.035,782.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,826.452,855.292,884.13
Year 2 PV (M)3,169.573,234.593,300.26
Year 3 PV (M)3,440.653,547.063,655.63
Year 4 PV (M)3,648.963,800.193,956.07
Year 5 PV (M)3,802.724,000.734,206.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)117,542.53123,663.24130,036.32
Equity Value (M)134,430.88141,101.10148,039.33
Shares Outstanding (M)32,055.7832,055.7832,055.78
Fair Value$4.19$4.40$4.62
Upside / Downside87.22%96.51%106.17%

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