DDM Analysis: AURG.OL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,921.22 - $10,541.52	$9,294.46
Multi-Stage	$1,330.51 - $1,456.04	$1,392.12
Blended Fair Value	$5,343.29
Current Price	$241.95
Upside	2,108.43%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	21.50%	0.00%	15.00	10.00	8.00	6.95	7.65	5.67	11.25	4.01	4.01	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	50.00%	25.06%	15.00%	-9.09%	35.00%	-49.63%	180.52%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.44%	4.65%	3.77%	3.49%	4.40%	3.70%	7.68%	3.07%	3.11%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	245.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	69.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)	175.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	49.01	30.63	18.38
Cash Retained (M)	175.70	175.70	175.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-49.01	-30.63	-18.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)	126.69	145.07	157.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.62	4.62	4.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share	27.41	31.38	34.03
LTM Dividend per Share	15.00	15.00	15.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	27.41	31.38	34.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	42.40	46.38	49.03
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$2,921.22	$9,294.46	$10,541.52
Upside / Downside	1,107.37%	3,741.48%	4,256.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	245.04	260.96	277.92	295.99	315.23	335.72	345.79
Payout Ratio	28.30%	40.64%	52.98%	65.32%	77.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	69.34	106.05	147.24	193.34	244.81	302.15	319.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	98.15	99.08	100.01
Year 2 PV (M)	126.13	128.53	130.96
Year 3 PV (M)	153.28	157.68	162.17
Year 4 PV (M)	179.63	186.54	193.65
Year 5 PV (M)	205.20	215.11	225.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,388.30	5,648.56	5,918.78
Equity Value (M)	6,150.70	6,435.51	6,730.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.62	4.62	4.62
Fair Value	$1,330.51	$1,392.12	$1,456.04
Upside / Downside	449.91%	475.38%	501.79%

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Aurskog Sparebank (AURG.OL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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