DDM Analysis: ALKER.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.78 - $3.74	$3.27
Multi-Stage	$3.22 - $3.53	$3.37
Blended Fair Value	$3.32
Current Price	$10.10
Upside	-67.09%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.11%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.11

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.23	0.14	0.08
Cash Retained (M)	1.11	1.11	1.11
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.23	-0.14	-0.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.88	0.97	1.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.00	2.00	2.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.48	0.51
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.48	0.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.45	0.49	0.52
WACC / Discount Rate	13.95%	13.95%	13.95%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2.78	$3.27	$3.74
Upside / Downside	-72.52%	-67.60%	-62.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1.13	1.12	1.11	1.10	1.08	1.07	1.11
Payout Ratio	1.99%	19.59%	37.20%	54.80%	72.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.02	0.22	0.41	0.60	0.79	0.97	1.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	13.95%	13.95%	13.95%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	0.19	0.19	0.19
Year 2 PV (M)	0.31	0.32	0.32
Year 3 PV (M)	0.39	0.41	0.42
Year 4 PV (M)	0.45	0.47	0.49
Year 5 PV (M)	0.48	0.50	0.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4.62	4.87	5.12
Equity Value (M)	6.44	6.75	7.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.00	2.00	2.00
Fair Value	$3.22	$3.37	$3.53
Upside / Downside	-68.10%	-66.59%	-65.02%

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Media-Maker S.p.A. (ALKER.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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