DDM Analysis: ALBKK.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$295.77 - $348.96	$326.80
Multi-Stage	$482.81 - $533.83	$507.81
Blended Fair Value	$417.30
Current Price	$20.80
Upside	1,906.26%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.60	0.85	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.99	2.18	0.96	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-29.72%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-54.54%	128.38%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	3.43%	5.18%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	7.19%	15.59%	6.83%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.38	0.86	0.52
Cash Retained (M)	5.81	5.81	5.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.38	-0.86	-0.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4.43	4.94	5.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3.66	3.66	3.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.21	1.35	1.44
LTM Dividend per Share	0.30	0.30	0.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.21	1.35	1.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.51	1.65	1.74
WACC / Discount Rate	-19.19%	-19.19%	-19.19%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$295.77	$326.80	$348.96
Upside / Downside	1,321.95%	1,471.13%	1,577.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6.91	6.84	6.78	6.71	6.64	6.57	6.77
Payout Ratio	15.97%	30.78%	45.58%	60.39%	75.19%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.10	2.11	3.09	4.05	4.99	5.92	6.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-19.19%	-19.19%	-19.19%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.58	2.61	2.63
Year 2 PV (M)	4.63	4.73	4.82
Year 3 PV (M)	7.44	7.67	7.91
Year 4 PV (M)	11.24	11.71	12.19
Year 5 PV (M)	16.32	17.17	18.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,727.25	1,817.19	1,910.84
Equity Value (M)	1,769.47	1,861.08	1,956.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	3.66	3.66	3.66
Fair Value	$482.81	$507.81	$533.83
Upside / Downside	2,221.21%	2,341.39%	2,466.50%

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Baikowski S.A. (ALBKK.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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