Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ximei Resources Holding Limited (9936.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.46 - $11.96$9.49
Multi-Stage$20.02 - $22.09$21.03
Blended Fair Value$15.26
Current Price$3.68
Upside314.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.090.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.57%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)258.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)233.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.6732.2919.38
Cash Retained (M)233.31233.31233.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.67-32.29-19.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)181.64201.02213.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)358.94358.94358.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate5.57%5.57%5.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.46$9.49$11.96
Upside / Downside102.61%157.96%224.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)258.34255.76253.20250.67248.16245.68253.05
Payout Ratio9.69%25.75%41.81%57.88%73.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.0365.86105.87145.07183.48221.11234.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.57%5.57%5.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)61.7662.3963.02
Year 2 PV (M)93.0995.0096.93
Year 3 PV (M)119.61123.31127.08
Year 4 PV (M)141.85147.73153.79
Year 5 PV (M)160.29168.64177.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,608.266,952.377,310.66
Equity Value (M)7,184.857,549.437,928.81
Shares Outstanding (M)358.94358.94358.94
Fair Value$20.02$21.03$22.09
Upside / Downside443.94%471.54%500.26%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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