DDM Analysis: 7864.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9,235.98 - $46,283.70	$16,514.60
Multi-Stage	$8,231.62 - $9,028.33	$8,622.51
Blended Fair Value	$12,568.56
Current Price	$2,849.00
Upside	341.16%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	17.08%	12.56%	74.43	35.67	35.65	33.72	33.09	33.83	26.53	23.32	22.79	22.26
YoY Growth	-	-	108.66%	0.05%	5.74%	1.89%	-2.19%	27.50%	13.78%	2.32%	2.38%	-2.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.67%	1.47%	2.35%	2.29%	1.42%	1.61%	0.77%	0.59%	0.74%	1.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,646.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,699.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	11,947.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,129.20	1,955.75	1,173.45
Cash Retained (M)	11,947.00	11,947.00	11,947.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,129.20	-1,955.75	-1,173.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8,817.80	9,991.25	10,773.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	53.74	53.74	53.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share	164.07	185.91	200.46
LTM Dividend per Share	68.83	68.83	68.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share	164.07	185.91	200.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	232.90	254.73	269.29
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	3.70%	4.70%	5.70%
Fair Value	$9,235.98	$16,514.60	$46,283.70
Upside / Downside	224.18%	479.66%	1,524.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,646.00	16,381.69	17,151.97	17,958.47	18,802.89	19,687.01	20,277.62
Payout Ratio	23.64%	36.91%	50.19%	63.46%	76.73%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,699.00	6,047.05	8,607.73	11,395.85	14,427.15	17,718.31	18,756.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	3.70%	4.70%	5.70%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,633.42	5,687.75	5,742.07
Year 2 PV (M)	7,470.45	7,615.22	7,761.38
Year 3 PV (M)	9,213.71	9,482.83	9,757.14
Year 4 PV (M)	10,866.68	11,291.93	11,729.55
Year 5 PV (M)	12,432.77	13,043.89	13,678.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)	396,779.33	416,282.59	436,545.35
Equity Value (M)	442,396.37	463,404.22	485,214.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	53.74	53.74	53.74
Fair Value	$8,231.62	$8,622.51	$9,028.33
Upside / Downside	188.93%	202.65%	216.89%

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FRD	Friedman Industries, Incorporated	0.80%	$0.16	9.82%
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MLI	Mueller Industries, Inc.	0.80%	$0.94	13.89%
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EE	Excelerate Energy, Inc.	0.78%	$0.22	9.21%
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HCI	HCI Group, Inc.	0.77%	$1.42	9.00%
PH	Parker-Hannifin Corporation	0.77%	$6.85	24.15%
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Fuji Seal International, Inc. (7864.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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