Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Direct Marketing MiX Inc. (7354.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$320.85 - $542.72$417.68
Multi-Stage$1,219.71 - $1,347.03$1,282.10
Blended Fair Value$849.89
Current Price$310.00
Upside174.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%2.9517.064.752.140.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---82.72%259.12%121.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.09%5.45%0.35%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,265.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)210.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,055.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)253.18158.2494.94
Cash Retained (M)1,055.801,055.801,055.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-253.18-158.24-94.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)802.62897.56960.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.7946.7946.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.1619.1820.54
LTM Dividend per Share4.494.494.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.1619.1820.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend21.6523.6825.03
WACC / Discount Rate4.61%4.61%4.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$320.85$417.68$542.72
Upside / Downside3.50%34.74%75.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,265.901,253.241,240.711,228.301,216.021,203.861,239.97
Payout Ratio16.60%31.28%45.96%60.64%75.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)210.11391.99570.21744.83915.901,083.471,146.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.61%4.61%4.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)370.92374.71378.49
Year 2 PV (M)510.57521.04531.62
Year 3 PV (M)631.09650.61670.52
Year 4 PV (M)734.33764.77796.14
Year 5 PV (M)822.00864.81909.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)53,996.4356,808.1559,735.80
Equity Value (M)57,065.3559,984.0863,021.95
Shares Outstanding (M)46.7946.7946.79
Fair Value$1,219.71$1,282.10$1,347.03
Upside / Downside293.45%313.58%334.52%

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