Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Jiangsu Eazytec Co., Ltd. (688258.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.06 - $93.68$32.99
Multi-Stage$9.85 - $10.77$10.30
Blended Fair Value$21.65
Current Price$73.28
Upside-70.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS66.47%0.00%0.230.060.070.190.110.020.010.010.020.00
YoY Growth--303.78%-20.15%-62.68%74.21%509.91%65.36%-14.45%-43.08%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.55%0.19%0.15%0.90%0.41%0.03%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)57.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.477.174.30
Cash Retained (M)35.2635.2635.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.47-7.17-4.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.7928.0930.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)121.76121.76121.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.44
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.06$32.99$93.68
Upside / Downside-76.72%-54.98%27.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)57.3561.0865.0569.2873.7878.5880.94
Payout Ratio38.53%48.82%59.12%69.41%79.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.1029.8238.4648.0958.8170.7274.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.4027.6627.92
Year 2 PV (M)32.4633.0733.70
Year 3 PV (M)37.2838.3539.45
Year 4 PV (M)41.8943.5045.16
Year 5 PV (M)46.2848.5150.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,014.181,063.161,114.02
Equity Value (M)1,199.481,254.261,311.07
Shares Outstanding (M)121.76121.76121.76
Fair Value$9.85$10.30$10.77
Upside / Downside-86.56%-85.94%-85.31%

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