Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cica-Huntek Chemical Technology Taiwan Co., Ltd. (6725.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$269.55 - $415.29$337.33
Multi-Stage$593.70 - $653.97$623.24
Blended Fair Value$480.28
Current Price$217.00
Upside121.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%6.911.680.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--311.76%70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.44%1.47%1.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)981.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)287.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)694.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)196.37122.7373.64
Cash Retained (M)694.75694.75694.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-196.37-122.73-73.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)498.38572.02621.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.4433.4433.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.9017.1018.57
LTM Dividend per Share8.588.588.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.9017.1018.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.4925.6927.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$269.55$337.33$415.29
Upside / Downside24.22%55.45%91.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)981.85972.03962.31952.69943.16933.73961.74
Payout Ratio29.24%41.39%53.54%65.70%77.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)287.10402.35515.26625.88734.23840.35889.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)373.84377.65381.47
Year 2 PV (M)444.83453.95463.17
Year 3 PV (M)502.03517.56533.40
Year 4 PV (M)547.21569.89593.27
Year 5 PV (M)581.92612.23643.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,405.1218,311.4419,255.13
Equity Value (M)19,854.9520,842.7221,870.22
Shares Outstanding (M)33.4433.4433.44
Fair Value$593.70$623.24$653.97
Upside / Downside173.60%187.21%201.37%

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