Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Seiko Epson Corporation (6724.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,703.15 - $10,086.67$5,708.74
Multi-Stage$3,685.64 - $4,036.44$3,857.78
Blended Fair Value$4,783.26
Current Price$1,898.00
Upside152.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.40%6.59%76.0180.6666.4766.9066.9067.5169.2165.9166.4378.11
YoY Growth---5.76%21.34%-0.64%0.01%-0.91%-2.45%5.00%-0.78%-14.95%94.44%
Dividend Yield--3.97%3.21%2.97%3.48%3.42%5.48%4.02%3.42%2.66%4.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50,562.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,954.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)26,608.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,112.406,320.253,792.15
Cash Retained (M)26,608.0026,608.0026,608.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,112.40-6,320.25-3,792.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,495.6020,287.7522,815.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)320.63320.63320.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share51.4563.2871.16
LTM Dividend per Share74.7174.7174.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share51.4563.2871.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend126.16137.99145.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate3.48%4.48%5.48%
Fair Value$3,703.15$5,708.74$10,086.67
Upside / Downside95.11%200.78%431.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50,562.0052,829.4755,198.6357,674.0360,260.4462,962.8464,851.72
Payout Ratio47.38%55.90%64.43%72.95%81.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,954.0029,531.8835,561.8842,073.3249,097.2556,666.5559,987.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate3.48%4.48%5.48%
Year 1 PV (M)27,333.1827,597.3127,861.44
Year 2 PV (M)30,463.7031,055.3131,652.60
Year 3 PV (M)33,358.2934,334.7135,330.01
Year 4 PV (M)36,029.0837,442.0338,896.14
Year 5 PV (M)38,487.6940,383.5642,353.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,016,042.521,066,092.021,118,094.69
Equity Value (M)1,181,714.461,236,904.951,294,188.31
Shares Outstanding (M)320.63320.63320.63
Fair Value$3,685.64$3,857.78$4,036.44
Upside / Downside94.19%103.25%112.67%

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