Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kokusai Electric Corporation (6525.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,315.35 - $2,026.45$1,646.08
Multi-Stage$2,887.58 - $3,181.21$3,031.50
Blended Fair Value$2,338.79
Current Price$4,199.00
Upside-44.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%28.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33,509.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,573.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,936.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,701.804,188.632,513.18
Cash Retained (M)24,936.0024,936.0024,936.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,701.80-4,188.63-2,513.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,234.2020,747.3822,422.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)233.85233.85233.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.9788.7295.89
LTM Dividend per Share36.6636.6636.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.9788.7295.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend114.63125.38132.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,315.35$1,646.08$2,026.45
Upside / Downside-68.67%-60.80%-51.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33,509.0033,173.9132,842.1732,513.7532,188.6131,866.7332,822.73
Payout Ratio25.58%38.47%51.35%64.23%77.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,573.0012,761.1216,864.6220,884.7724,822.8428,680.0530,361.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11,856.7011,977.6912,098.67
Year 2 PV (M)14,558.8414,857.4715,159.14
Year 3 PV (M)16,751.5517,269.6017,798.23
Year 4 PV (M)18,499.1419,265.8520,056.14
Year 5 PV (M)19,858.9020,893.0021,969.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)593,736.63624,653.88656,845.86
Equity Value (M)675,261.76708,917.48743,927.77
Shares Outstanding (M)233.85233.85233.85
Fair Value$2,887.58$3,031.50$3,181.21
Upside / Downside-31.23%-27.80%-24.24%

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