DDM Analysis: 605208.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.60 - $29.81	$11.08
Multi-Stage	$3.18 - $3.48	$3.32
Blended Fair Value	$7.20
Current Price	$14.40
Upside	-49.99%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2014
DPS	21.19%	7.97%	0.09	0.09	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.13	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.70%	-39.08%	14.32%	244.56%	14.31%	4.44%	-18.14%	-68.33%	135.48%	29.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.81%	1.20%	1.35%	1.33%	0.28%	0.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	51.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)	32.57

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.35	6.47	3.88
Cash Retained (M)	32.57	32.57	32.57
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.35	-6.47	-3.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)	22.23	26.11	28.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	345.17	345.17	345.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.12	0.13	0.14
WACC / Discount Rate	7.76%	7.76%	7.76%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$5.60	$11.08	$29.81
Upside / Downside	-61.14%	-23.07%	107.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	51.74	55.10	58.68	62.50	66.56	70.89	73.01
Payout Ratio	37.04%	47.63%	58.22%	68.82%	79.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19.16	26.25	34.17	43.01	52.85	63.80	67.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.76%	7.76%	7.76%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	24.13	24.36	24.58
Year 2 PV (M)	28.87	29.42	29.98
Year 3 PV (M)	33.41	34.37	35.35
Year 4 PV (M)	37.74	39.19	40.69
Year 5 PV (M)	41.88	43.90	46.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)	931.23	976.21	1,022.91
Equity Value (M)	1,097.26	1,147.45	1,199.51
Shares Outstanding (M)	345.17	345.17	345.17
Fair Value	$3.18	$3.32	$3.48
Upside / Downside	-77.92%	-76.91%	-75.87%

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Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology Co., Ltd. (605208.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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