DDM Analysis: 603308.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$65.32 - $103.10	$96.61
Multi-Stage	$27.74 - $30.43	$29.06
Blended Fair Value	$62.84
Current Price	$32.52
Upside	93.22%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	59.54%	2.91%	0.34	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	89.10%	73.53%	15.16%	53.09%	78.67%	21.43%	5.00%	-33.33%	20.48%	-87.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.82%	1.23%	0.52%	0.64%	0.31%	0.34%	0.33%	0.24%	0.29%	0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	353.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	190.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)	162.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	70.70	44.19	26.51
Cash Retained (M)	162.63	162.63	162.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-70.70	-44.19	-26.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)	91.93	118.44	136.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	673.64	673.64	673.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.18	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.18	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.49
WACC / Discount Rate	4.88%	4.88%	4.88%
Growth Rate	4.21%	5.21%	6.21%
Fair Value	$65.32	$96.61	$103.10
Upside / Downside	100.86%	197.08%	217.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	353.48	371.89	391.26	411.63	433.06	455.61	469.28
Payout Ratio	53.99%	61.19%	68.40%	75.60%	82.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	190.86	227.58	267.60	311.18	358.57	410.05	434.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.88%	4.88%	4.88%
Growth Rate	4.21%	5.21%	6.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	214.93	217.00	219.06
Year 2 PV (M)	238.69	243.30	247.94
Year 3 PV (M)	262.14	269.76	277.52
Year 4 PV (M)	285.28	296.39	307.82
Year 5 PV (M)	308.11	323.18	338.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)	17,378.05	18,228.03	19,110.95
Equity Value (M)	18,687.20	19,577.65	20,502.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	673.64	673.64	673.64
Fair Value	$27.74	$29.06	$30.43
Upside / Downside	-14.70%	-10.63%	-6.41%

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Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co., Ltd. (603308.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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