DDM Analysis: 301158.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.78 - $50.99	$29.98
Multi-Stage	$19.17 - $21.00	$20.07
Blended Fair Value	$25.03
Current Price	$17.82
Upside	40.43%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	36.75%	0.00%	0.42	0.16	0.12	0.10	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	0.01	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	161.45%	31.66%	22.65%	-7.11%	21.92%	175.58%	877.84%	-74.62%	-90.05%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.45%	1.15%	0.70%	0.41%	0.40%	0.33%	0.12%	0.01%	0.05%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	131.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)	85.23

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	26.23	16.39	9.84
Cash Retained (M)	85.23	85.23	85.23
(-) Cash Required (M)	-26.23	-16.39	-9.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)	59.00	68.84	75.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	149.09	149.09	149.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.40	0.46	0.51
LTM Dividend per Share	0.31	0.31	0.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.40	0.46	0.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.70	0.77	0.81
WACC / Discount Rate	7.26%	7.26%	7.26%
Growth Rate	3.58%	4.58%	5.58%
Fair Value	$19.78	$29.98	$50.99
Upside / Downside	11.01%	68.25%	186.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	131.16	137.16	143.44	150.01	156.88	164.06	168.98
Payout Ratio	35.01%	46.01%	57.01%	68.01%	79.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45.92	63.11	81.77	102.01	123.94	147.65	156.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.26%	7.26%	7.26%
Growth Rate	3.58%	4.58%	5.58%
Year 1 PV (M)	58.27	58.84	59.40
Year 2 PV (M)	69.72	71.07	72.44
Year 3 PV (M)	80.31	82.66	85.06
Year 4 PV (M)	90.10	93.63	97.26
Year 5 PV (M)	99.11	103.99	109.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,460.77	2,581.87	2,707.70
Equity Value (M)	2,858.28	2,992.06	3,130.90
Shares Outstanding (M)	149.09	149.09	149.09
Fair Value	$19.17	$20.07	$21.00
Upside / Downside	7.58%	12.62%	17.84%

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Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd. (301158.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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