Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yangzhou Yangjie Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (300373.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$156.18 - $479.63$449.49
Multi-Stage$63.96 - $70.03$66.94
Blended Fair Value$258.21
Current Price$69.44
Upside271.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.98%40.21%0.940.560.240.170.090.240.140.100.050.05
YoY Growth--69.22%133.77%43.44%84.28%-61.71%71.33%31.34%109.05%-3.66%61.81%
Dividend Yield--2.03%1.45%0.43%0.22%0.23%1.03%0.71%0.36%0.24%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,306.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)254.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,052.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)261.39163.3798.02
Cash Retained (M)1,052.151,052.151,052.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-261.39-163.37-98.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)790.76888.78954.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)541.91541.91541.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.461.641.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.461.641.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.932.112.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$156.18$449.49$479.63
Upside / Downside124.91%547.30%590.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,306.951,391.901,482.371,578.731,681.341,790.631,844.35
Payout Ratio19.50%33.60%47.70%61.80%75.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)254.80467.63707.05975.631,276.131,611.571,706.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)433.73437.84441.96
Year 2 PV (M)608.26619.85631.54
Year 3 PV (M)778.46800.81823.58
Year 4 PV (M)944.42980.741,018.10
Year 5 PV (M)1,106.211,159.641,215.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,790.2432,277.4233,821.52
Equity Value (M)34,661.3336,276.3037,951.81
Shares Outstanding (M)541.91541.91541.91
Fair Value$63.96$66.94$70.03
Upside / Downside-7.89%-3.60%0.85%

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