DDM Analysis: 300238.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.56 - $0.77	$0.67
Multi-Stage	$1.01 - $1.11	$1.06
Blended Fair Value	$0.86
Current Price	$15.36
Upside	-94.39%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-30.25%	-14.88%	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.03	0.06	0.06	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	104.44%	-67.24%	-47.22%	-50.80%	-5.06%	-49.07%	16.72%	261.31%	-46.96%	6.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.07%	0.04%	0.12%	0.18%	0.30%	0.36%	0.65%	0.52%	0.09%	0.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	26.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	23.58

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5.26	3.29	1.97
Cash Retained (M)	23.58	23.58	23.58
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5.26	-3.29	-1.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)	18.32	20.30	21.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	255.42	255.42	255.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.08	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.08	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.08	0.09	0.10
WACC / Discount Rate	9.04%	9.04%	9.04%
Growth Rate	-4.93%	-3.93%	-2.93%
Fair Value	$0.56	$0.67	$0.77
Upside / Downside	-96.35%	-95.65%	-94.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	26.30	25.27	24.28	23.32	22.41	21.53	22.17
Payout Ratio	10.32%	26.26%	42.19%	58.13%	74.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.71	6.63	10.24	13.56	16.60	19.37	20.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.04%	9.04%	9.04%
Growth Rate	-4.93%	-3.93%	-2.93%
Year 1 PV (M)	6.02	6.08	6.15
Year 2 PV (M)	8.44	8.61	8.80
Year 3 PV (M)	10.13	10.46	10.79
Year 4 PV (M)	11.26	11.74	12.24
Year 5 PV (M)	11.93	12.57	13.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	209.18	220.42	232.13
Equity Value (M)	256.97	269.89	283.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	255.42	255.42	255.42
Fair Value	$1.01	$1.06	$1.11
Upside / Downside	-93.45%	-93.12%	-92.78%

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Guanhao Biotech Co.,Ltd. (300238.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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