DDM Analysis: 300153.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.08 - $1.57	$1.32
Multi-Stage	$1.66 - $1.83	$1.74
Blended Fair Value	$1.53
Current Price	$40.29
Upside	-96.20%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-28.33%	-11.53%	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.08	0.11	0.11	0.12	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-26.51%	-21.10%	13.90%	-25.85%	-61.39%	-32.04%	4.16%	-5.53%	54.93%	50.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.04%	0.30%	0.32%	0.25%	0.57%	1.42%	1.32%	1.08%	0.76%	0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	48.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	45.43

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9.63	6.02	3.61
Cash Retained (M)	45.43	45.43	45.43
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9.63	-6.02	-3.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	35.80	39.41	41.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	320.01	320.01	320.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.12	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.12	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.12	0.13	0.14
WACC / Discount Rate	9.18%	9.18%	9.18%
Growth Rate	-1.72%	-0.72%	0.28%
Fair Value	$1.08	$1.32	$1.57
Upside / Downside	-97.31%	-96.72%	-96.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	48.14	47.79	47.45	47.11	46.77	46.44	47.83
Payout Ratio	5.63%	22.51%	39.38%	56.25%	73.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.71	10.76	18.69	26.50	34.20	41.79	44.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.18%	9.18%	9.18%
Growth Rate	-1.72%	-0.72%	0.28%
Year 1 PV (M)	9.75	9.85	9.95
Year 2 PV (M)	15.36	15.67	15.99
Year 3 PV (M)	19.75	20.36	20.98
Year 4 PV (M)	23.11	24.07	25.05
Year 5 PV (M)	25.60	26.93	28.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	438.26	461.01	484.70
Equity Value (M)	531.84	557.90	584.99
Shares Outstanding (M)	320.01	320.01	320.01
Fair Value	$1.66	$1.74	$1.83
Upside / Downside	-95.88%	-95.67%	-95.46%

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Shanghai Cooltech Power Co., Ltd. (300153.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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