DDM Analysis: 300096.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.47 - $0.61	$0.54
Multi-Stage	$0.87 - $0.97	$0.92
Blended Fair Value	$0.73
Current Price	$7.38
Upside	-90.08%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-41.09%	-37.55%	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-95.35%	-59.47%	276.24%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-87.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.01%	0.16%	0.25%	0.06%	0.07%	0.05%	0.04%	0.04%	0.04%	0.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	62.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)	55.23

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.53	7.83	4.70
Cash Retained (M)	55.23	55.23	55.23
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.53	-7.83	-4.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	42.70	47.40	50.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	429.87	429.87	429.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.11	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.11	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.12	0.13	0.13
WACC / Discount Rate	9.82%	9.82%	9.82%
Growth Rate	-12.06%	-11.06%	-10.06%
Fair Value	$0.47	$0.54	$0.61
Upside / Downside	-93.65%	-92.64%	-91.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	62.65	55.73	49.56	44.08	39.21	34.87	35.92
Payout Ratio	11.84%	27.47%	43.11%	58.74%	74.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7.42	15.31	21.36	25.89	29.16	31.39	33.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.82%	9.82%	9.82%
Growth Rate	-12.06%	-11.06%	-10.06%
Year 1 PV (M)	13.78	13.94	14.10
Year 2 PV (M)	17.32	17.72	18.12
Year 3 PV (M)	18.90	19.55	20.22
Year 4 PV (M)	19.16	20.05	20.96
Year 5 PV (M)	18.57	19.65	20.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	288.32	305.09	322.63
Equity Value (M)	376.05	395.99	416.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	429.87	429.87	429.87
Fair Value	$0.87	$0.92	$0.97
Upside / Downside	-88.15%	-87.52%	-86.86%

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YLZ Information Technology Co., Ltd (300096.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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