Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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COOCON Corporation (294570.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19,118.60 - $27,133.23$23,069.79
Multi-Stage$28,122.03 - $30,923.58$29,495.56
Blended Fair Value$26,282.67
Current Price$40,800.00
Upside-35.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%98.5399.8798.410.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.35%1.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.58%0.49%0.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,586.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,529.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)28,057.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,917.353,698.352,219.01
Cash Retained (M)28,057.7428,057.7428,057.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,917.35-3,698.35-2,219.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,140.3924,359.3925,838.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.2310.2310.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,163.982,380.862,525.45
LTM Dividend per Share149.45149.45149.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,163.982,380.862,525.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,313.432,530.312,674.90
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$19,118.60$23,069.79$27,133.23
Upside / Downside-53.14%-43.46%-33.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,586.7629,290.9028,997.9928,708.0128,420.9328,136.7228,980.82
Payout Ratio5.17%22.13%39.10%56.07%73.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,529.026,483.3511,338.4316,095.7720,756.8225,323.0526,807.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,841.945,901.555,961.16
Year 2 PV (M)9,205.959,394.789,585.53
Year 3 PV (M)11,775.6512,139.8212,511.42
Year 4 PV (M)13,683.3214,250.4314,834.99
Year 5 PV (M)15,041.9615,825.2316,640.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)232,176.90244,266.89256,855.36
Equity Value (M)287,725.71301,778.69316,389.25
Shares Outstanding (M)10.2310.2310.23
Fair Value$28,122.03$29,495.56$30,923.58
Upside / Downside-31.07%-27.71%-24.21%

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