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BGF retail Co. Ltd. (282330.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,116,578.11 - $2,174,560.31$2,037,881.47
Multi-Stage$337,949.85 - $369,957.41$353,659.30
Blended Fair Value$1,195,770.39
Current Price$108,000.00
Upside1,007.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS8.88%0.00%4,098.944,098.942,999.222,399.382,699.302,679.30999.740.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%36.67%25.00%-11.11%0.75%168.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.75%3.36%1.65%1.38%1.71%2.03%0.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)188,939.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70,827.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)118,111.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37,787.8723,617.4214,170.45
Cash Retained (M)118,111.80118,111.80118,111.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-37,787.87-23,617.42-14,170.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)80,323.9394,494.38103,941.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.2817.2817.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,648.515,468.586,015.30
LTM Dividend per Share4,098.944,098.944,098.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,648.515,468.586,015.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,747.459,567.5210,114.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,116,578.11$2,037,881.47$2,174,560.31
Upside / Downside933.87%1,786.93%1,913.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)188,939.36201,220.42214,299.74228,229.23243,064.13258,863.29266,629.19
Payout Ratio37.49%47.99%58.49%68.99%79.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70,827.5696,564.76125,348.54157,466.23193,229.63232,976.97246,632.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)89,966.3290,819.0891,671.85
Year 2 PV (M)108,803.26110,875.66112,967.61
Year 3 PV (M)127,341.92130,997.45134,722.28
Year 4 PV (M)145,585.79151,184.61156,943.38
Year 5 PV (M)163,538.34171,437.30179,638.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,204,368.875,455,741.835,716,735.43
Equity Value (M)5,839,604.516,111,055.946,392,679.12
Shares Outstanding (M)17.2817.2817.28
Fair Value$337,949.85$353,659.30$369,957.41
Upside / Downside212.92%227.46%242.55%

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