DDM Analysis: 2505.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.16 - $1.55	$1.36
Multi-Stage	$1.30 - $1.43	$1.36
Blended Fair Value	$1.36
Current Price	$2.37
Upside	-42.50%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-60.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.00%	1.45%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	106.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	97.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	21.37	13.35	8.01
Cash Retained (M)	97.63	97.63	97.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-21.37	-13.35	-8.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)	76.26	84.28	89.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	416.24	416.24	416.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.18	0.20	0.22
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.18	0.20	0.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.21	0.22	0.24
WACC / Discount Rate	15.31%	15.31%	15.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$1.16	$1.36	$1.55
Upside / Downside	-50.96%	-42.50%	-34.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	106.83	105.76	104.71	103.66	102.62	101.60	104.64
Payout Ratio	8.61%	24.89%	41.17%	57.44%	73.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9.20	26.32	43.10	59.55	75.65	91.44	96.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	15.31%	15.31%	15.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	22.60	22.83	23.06
Year 2 PV (M)	31.76	32.42	33.07
Year 3 PV (M)	37.67	38.83	40.02
Year 4 PV (M)	41.08	42.79	44.54
Year 5 PV (M)	42.62	44.84	47.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)	366.43	385.51	405.38
Equity Value (M)	542.17	567.22	593.23
Shares Outstanding (M)	416.24	416.24	416.24
Fair Value	$1.30	$1.36	$1.43
Upside / Downside	-45.04%	-42.50%	-39.86%

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EDA Group Holdings Limited (2505.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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