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Definitive Analysis

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Mando Corporation (204320.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$439,862.54 - $518,306.85$485,694.96
Multi-Stage$358,428.76 - $393,666.24$375,715.88
Blended Fair Value$430,705.42
Current Price$33,600.00
Upside1,181.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.70%0.00%565.84470.99753.59173.84517.23683.34188.081,088.031,099.62376.17
YoY Growth--20.14%-37.50%333.49%-66.39%-24.31%263.32%-82.71%-1.05%192.32%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.39%1.64%0.35%0.79%3.30%0.64%2.34%2.12%1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)130,746.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38,522.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)92,224.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26,149.3816,343.369,806.02
Cash Retained (M)92,224.6392,224.6392,224.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-26,149.38-16,343.36-9,806.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)66,075.2575,881.2682,418.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.7949.7949.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,327.041,523.981,655.27
LTM Dividend per Share773.67773.67773.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,327.041,523.981,655.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,100.712,297.652,428.95
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate4.69%5.69%6.69%
Fair Value$439,862.54$485,694.96$518,306.85
Upside / Downside1,209.11%1,345.52%1,442.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)130,746.92138,191.40146,059.76154,376.12163,166.01172,456.37177,630.06
Payout Ratio29.46%41.57%53.68%65.79%77.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38,522.2957,446.9978,401.88101,556.79127,094.33155,210.73164,307.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate4.69%5.69%6.69%
Year 1 PV (M)58,047.6158,602.0659,156.51
Year 2 PV (M)80,049.8581,586.3783,137.50
Year 3 PV (M)104,775.56107,806.67110,895.69
Year 4 PV (M)132,493.38137,628.50142,911.46
Year 5 PV (M)163,495.87171,454.75179,720.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,307,854.0218,150,390.2219,025,422.89
Equity Value (M)17,846,716.2918,707,468.5619,601,244.64
Shares Outstanding (M)49.7949.7949.79
Fair Value$358,428.76$375,715.88$393,666.24
Upside / Downside966.75%1,018.20%1,071.63%

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