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Bell Food Group AG (0RFX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,017.61 - $3,106.10$1,621.48
Multi-Stage$1,114.10 - $1,222.09$1,167.08
Blended Fair Value$1,394.28
Current Price$249.50
Upside458.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.88%6.25%6.996.996.996.495.505.515.115.295.184.13
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%7.86%17.97%-0.29%7.79%-3.31%2.15%25.30%8.32%
Dividend Yield--2.67%2.75%2.94%2.22%2.30%2.10%1.63%1.41%1.35%1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)252.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)164.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.4831.5518.93
Cash Retained (M)164.60164.60164.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.48-31.55-18.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)114.12133.05145.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.286.286.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.1821.2023.21
LTM Dividend per Share13.9913.9913.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.1821.2023.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend32.1735.1937.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate3.05%4.05%5.05%
Fair Value$1,017.61$1,621.48$3,106.10
Upside / Downside307.86%549.89%1,144.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)252.40262.63273.27284.34295.86307.84317.08
Payout Ratio34.79%45.83%56.87%67.91%78.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.80120.36155.41193.11233.60277.06293.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate3.05%4.05%5.05%
Year 1 PV (M)112.13113.21114.30
Year 2 PV (M)134.88137.51140.17
Year 3 PV (M)156.13160.72165.40
Year 4 PV (M)175.96182.89190.02
Year 5 PV (M)194.42204.04214.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,218.506,526.136,845.82
Equity Value (M)6,992.027,324.507,669.74
Shares Outstanding (M)6.286.286.28
Fair Value$1,114.10$1,167.08$1,222.09
Upside / Downside346.53%367.77%389.81%

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