Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Polytec Holding AG (0GOX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.90 - $1.31$1.10
Multi-Stage$1.50 - $1.65$1.57
Blended Fair Value$1.34
Current Price$3.28
Upside-59.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.100.110.290.010.390.430.410.310.24
YoY Growth---100.00%-9.09%-63.88%2,578.80%-97.17%-10.86%6.00%32.47%28.19%-9.93%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.88%2.30%4.41%0.10%8.96%4.94%2.61%2.33%3.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.560.350.21
Cash Retained (M)2.392.392.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.56-0.35-0.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.832.042.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.7922.7922.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.90$1.10$1.31
Upside / Downside-72.47%-66.41%-59.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.782.752.722.702.672.642.72
Payout Ratio14.11%29.28%44.46%59.64%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.390.811.211.612.002.382.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.730.740.75
Year 2 PV (M)1.011.031.05
Year 3 PV (M)1.221.261.29
Year 4 PV (M)1.381.441.50
Year 5 PV (M)1.501.581.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)28.3729.8531.39
Equity Value (M)34.2135.8837.63
Shares Outstanding (M)22.7922.7922.79
Fair Value$1.50$1.57$1.65
Upside / Downside-54.24%-52.00%-49.66%

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