Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Techwing, Inc. (089030.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,223.84 - $3,424.72$2,782.52
Multi-Stage$4,987.42 - $5,487.39$5,232.50
Blended Fair Value$4,007.51
Current Price$33,350.00
Upside-87.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.15%0.00%129.82129.82120.76120.32120.32116.72117.43110.51106.210.00
YoY Growth--0.00%7.50%0.37%0.00%3.08%-0.61%6.27%4.04%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.39%1.58%1.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,682.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,646.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,035.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,736.431,085.27651.16
Cash Retained (M)4,035.884,035.884,035.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,736.43-1,085.27-651.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,299.452,950.623,384.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.7935.7935.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share64.2582.4494.57
LTM Dividend per Share129.82129.82129.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share64.2582.4494.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend194.06212.26224.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.55%6.55%6.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,223.84$2,782.52$3,424.72
Upside / Downside-93.33%-91.66%-89.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,682.158,595.328,509.378,424.288,340.038,256.638,504.33
Payout Ratio53.52%60.81%68.11%75.41%82.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,646.265,227.005,795.656,352.426,897.467,430.977,866.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.55%6.55%6.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,856.044,905.594,955.14
Year 2 PV (M)5,002.215,104.815,208.46
Year 3 PV (M)5,093.635,251.155,411.89
Year 4 PV (M)5,138.165,351.115,570.61
Year 5 PV (M)5,142.725,410.525,689.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)153,272.16161,253.40169,563.71
Equity Value (M)178,504.91187,276.57196,399.16
Shares Outstanding (M)35.7935.7935.79
Fair Value$4,987.42$5,232.50$5,487.39
Upside / Downside-85.05%-84.31%-83.55%

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