Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Chin Yang Industry Co., Ltd. (003780.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53,492.90 - $148,080.68$138,771.64
Multi-Stage$21,466.80 - $23,497.21$22,463.34
Blended Fair Value$80,617.49
Current Price$5,630.00
Upside1,331.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%5.24%249.77199.82199.82174.84179.83124.8999.91174.84199.82149.86
YoY Growth--25.00%0.00%14.29%-2.78%44.00%25.00%-42.86%-12.50%33.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.60%2.90%3.28%1.48%2.28%4.23%2.81%6.04%5.18%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,700.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,653.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,047.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,940.151,212.60727.56
Cash Retained (M)6,047.776,047.776,047.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,940.15-1,212.60-727.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,107.624,835.175,320.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0113.0113.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share315.68371.60408.87
LTM Dividend per Share280.74280.74280.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share315.68371.60408.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend596.42652.34689.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Fair Value$53,492.90$138,771.64$148,080.68
Upside / Downside850.14%2,364.86%2,530.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,700.7710,318.2110,974.9611,673.5012,416.5113,206.8113,603.01
Payout Ratio37.66%48.13%58.59%69.06%79.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,653.004,965.696,430.688,062.049,875.0211,886.1312,582.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Year 1 PV (M)4,617.064,660.884,704.70
Year 2 PV (M)5,559.425,665.445,772.47
Year 3 PV (M)6,480.436,666.706,856.50
Year 4 PV (M)7,380.457,664.657,956.98
Year 5 PV (M)8,259.848,659.329,074.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)247,027.32258,974.42271,379.36
Equity Value (M)279,324.51292,291.41305,744.11
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0113.0113.01
Fair Value$21,466.80$22,463.34$23,497.21
Upside / Downside281.29%298.99%317.36%

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