DDM Analysis: 002847.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$81.06 - $314.22	$137.28
Multi-Stage	$49.65 - $54.34	$51.95
Blended Fair Value	$94.61
Current Price	$70.10
Upside	34.97%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	80.29%	29.78%	1.73	0.78	0.54	0.56	0.28	0.09	0.13	0.11	0.11	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	121.30%	46.17%	-3.55%	97.83%	208.64%	-30.89%	20.84%	-2.50%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.74%	1.44%	0.84%	1.93%	0.45%	0.34%	0.97%	0.85%	0.50%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	751.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	16.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	735.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	150.30	93.94	56.36
Cash Retained (M)	735.32	735.32	735.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-150.30	-93.94	-56.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)	585.02	641.38	678.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	272.33	272.33	272.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.15	2.36	2.49
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.15	2.36	2.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.21	2.41	2.55
WACC / Discount Rate	8.37%	8.37%	8.37%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$81.06	$137.28	$314.22
Upside / Downside	15.63%	95.83%	348.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	751.52	800.37	852.40	907.80	966.81	1,029.65	1,060.54
Payout Ratio	2.16%	19.72%	37.29%	54.86%	72.43%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	16.20	157.87	317.89	498.04	700.27	926.69	981.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.37%	8.37%	8.37%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	144.31	145.67	147.04
Year 2 PV (M)	265.60	270.66	275.77
Year 3 PV (M)	380.37	391.29	402.42
Year 4 PV (M)	488.86	507.67	527.00
Year 5 PV (M)	591.34	619.90	649.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	11,650.15	12,212.86	12,797.10
Equity Value (M)	13,520.64	14,148.05	14,798.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	272.33	272.33	272.33
Fair Value	$49.65	$51.95	$54.34
Upside / Downside	-29.18%	-25.89%	-22.48%

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YanKer shop Food Co.,Ltd (002847.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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