Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Edifier Technology Co., Ltd. (002351.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.96 - $92.11$86.32
Multi-Stage$14.19 - $15.52$14.84
Blended Fair Value$50.58
Current Price$14.18
Upside256.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.88%12.87%0.200.200.180.200.100.070.070.100.070.07
YoY Growth---0.17%11.09%-10.00%99.85%46.28%2.02%-32.47%49.83%-1.56%13.16%
Dividend Yield--1.37%1.50%1.25%2.28%0.71%0.68%1.56%1.67%0.63%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)410.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)221.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)189.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)82.1751.3630.81
Cash Retained (M)189.81189.81189.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-82.17-51.36-30.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)107.64138.45158.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)887.12887.12887.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$43.96$86.32$92.11
Upside / Downside210.02%508.73%549.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)410.86437.56466.01496.30528.56562.91579.80
Payout Ratio53.80%61.04%68.28%75.52%82.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)221.05267.10318.20374.81437.44506.62536.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)248.70251.06253.41
Year 2 PV (M)275.87281.12286.43
Year 3 PV (M)302.57311.25320.11
Year 4 PV (M)328.80341.45354.45
Year 5 PV (M)354.58371.70389.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,075.2511,610.1912,165.60
Equity Value (M)12,585.7713,166.7713,769.49
Shares Outstanding (M)887.12887.12887.12
Fair Value$14.19$14.84$15.52
Upside / Downside0.05%4.67%9.46%

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