Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fujian SBS Zipper Science&Technology Co., Ltd (002098.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.05 - $108.46$101.64
Multi-Stage$57.46 - $63.13$60.24
Blended Fair Value$80.94
Current Price$8.72
Upside828.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.50%4.36%0.130.030.050.080.140.170.020.080.080.05
YoY Growth--315.77%-38.23%-34.68%-42.51%-17.63%734.84%-75.00%0.00%67.98%-45.00%
Dividend Yield--1.66%0.55%0.83%1.11%2.18%2.84%0.19%0.49%0.51%0.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)197.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)166.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.4124.6314.78
Cash Retained (M)166.60166.60166.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.41-24.63-14.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)127.19141.96151.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)357.94357.94357.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate3.23%3.23%3.23%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Fair Value$92.05$101.64$108.46
Upside / Downside955.57%1,065.58%1,143.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)197.06207.89219.31231.35244.06257.47265.19
Payout Ratio15.46%30.37%45.28%60.18%75.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.4763.1399.29139.24183.27231.72245.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.23%3.23%3.23%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)60.5761.1561.73
Year 2 PV (M)91.4193.1794.95
Year 3 PV (M)123.00126.56130.20
Year 4 PV (M)155.34161.37167.58
Year 5 PV (M)188.46197.65207.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,950.1120,923.1721,933.83
Equity Value (M)20,568.9021,563.0822,595.49
Shares Outstanding (M)357.94357.94357.94
Fair Value$57.46$60.24$63.13
Upside / Downside559.00%590.85%623.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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