Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Korea Cast Iron Pipe Ind. Co., Ltd. (000970.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,583.27 - $6,494.78$5,526.69
Multi-Stage$7,278.44 - $7,967.76$7,616.54
Blended Fair Value$6,571.62
Current Price$6,790.00
Upside-3.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.00399.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%6.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,022.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,602.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,419.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,004.451,877.781,126.67
Cash Retained (M)6,419.486,419.486,419.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,004.45-1,877.78-1,126.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,415.034,541.705,292.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.5121.5121.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share158.78211.16246.09
LTM Dividend per Share399.98399.98399.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share158.78211.16246.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend558.76611.15646.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4,583.27$5,526.69$6,494.78
Upside / Downside-32.50%-18.61%-4.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,022.2614,872.0414,723.3214,576.0814,430.3214,286.0214,714.60
Payout Ratio57.27%63.81%70.36%76.91%83.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,602.789,490.3710,359.3411,209.9912,042.5912,857.4213,611.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,544.548,631.738,718.92
Year 2 PV (M)8,397.378,569.628,743.62
Year 3 PV (M)8,181.298,434.308,692.48
Year 4 PV (M)7,913.028,240.978,579.02
Year 5 PV (M)7,606.448,002.528,414.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)115,901.50121,936.76128,220.85
Equity Value (M)156,544.15163,815.90171,369.82
Shares Outstanding (M)21.5121.5121.51
Fair Value$7,278.44$7,616.54$7,967.76
Upside / Downside7.19%12.17%17.35%

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