DDM Analysis: 000560.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.42 - $0.64	$0.52
Multi-Stage	$0.94 - $1.04	$0.99
Blended Fair Value	$0.75
Current Price	$3.05
Upside	-75.29%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-21.22%	-1.12%	0.05	0.06	0.08	0.10	0.17	0.17	0.08	0.04	0.02	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-19.18%	-20.39%	-18.11%	-43.13%	1.24%	118.44%	78.70%	90.66%	-16.23%	-52.77%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.70%	2.93%	2.57%	2.53%	4.59%	5.06%	0.99%	0.71%	0.26%	0.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	107.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	87.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)	20.16

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	21.45	13.41	8.04
Cash Retained (M)	20.16	20.16	20.16
(-) Cash Required (M)	-21.45	-13.41	-8.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1.29	6.76	12.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,347.25	2,347.25	2,347.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.04	0.04	0.04
WACC / Discount Rate	6.62%	6.62%	6.62%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$0.42	$0.52	$0.64
Upside / Downside	-86.38%	-82.97%	-79.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	107.25	106.18	105.12	104.07	103.03	102.00	105.06
Payout Ratio	81.20%	82.96%	84.72%	86.48%	88.24%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	87.09	88.09	89.06	90.00	90.91	91.80	97.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.62%	6.62%	6.62%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	81.78	82.62	83.45
Year 2 PV (M)	76.76	78.34	79.93
Year 3 PV (M)	72.02	74.25	76.52
Year 4 PV (M)	67.54	70.34	73.23
Year 5 PV (M)	63.32	66.62	70.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,850.77	1,947.14	2,047.49
Equity Value (M)	2,212.20	2,319.31	2,430.67
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,347.25	2,347.25	2,347.25
Fair Value	$0.94	$0.99	$1.04
Upside / Downside	-69.10%	-67.60%	-66.05%

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5i5j Holding Group Co., Ltd. (000560.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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