DDM Analysis: XGR2.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$98.41 - $287.56	$269.49
Multi-Stage	$40.23 - $43.98	$42.07
Blended Fair Value	$155.78
Current Price	$25.71
Upside	505.91%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.10%	8.05%	0.56	0.46	0.27	0.00	0.32	0.44	0.42	1.20	0.38	0.40
YoY Growth	-	-	21.80%	69.38%	0.00%	-100.00%	-26.86%	5.19%	-65.26%	217.98%	-6.68%	55.98%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.30%	2.28%	1.49%	0.00%	2.74%	2.19%	2.08%	6.02%	1.93%	2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,475.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,526.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)	948.94

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	495.16	309.48	185.69
Cash Retained (M)	948.94	948.94	948.94
(-) Cash Required (M)	-495.16	-309.48	-185.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	453.78	639.46	763.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,712.25	1,712.25	1,712.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.37	0.45
LTM Dividend per Share	0.89	0.89	0.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.37	0.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.16	1.27	1.34
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$98.41	$269.49	$287.56
Upside / Downside	282.76%	948.19%	1,018.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,475.82	2,636.75	2,808.14	2,990.67	3,185.06	3,392.09	3,493.86
Payout Ratio	61.67%	67.34%	73.00%	78.67%	84.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,526.88	1,775.52	2,050.03	2,352.72	2,686.10	3,052.88	3,231.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,647.78	1,663.40	1,679.02
Year 2 PV (M)	1,765.67	1,799.30	1,833.25
Year 3 PV (M)	1,880.60	1,934.58	1,989.59
Year 4 PV (M)	1,992.61	2,069.24	2,148.06
Year 5 PV (M)	2,101.77	2,203.29	2,308.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	59,489.02	62,362.36	65,345.67
Equity Value (M)	68,877.46	72,032.18	75,304.29
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,712.25	1,712.25	1,712.25
Fair Value	$40.23	$42.07	$43.98
Upside / Downside	56.46%	63.63%	71.06%

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Compass Group PLC (XGR2.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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