DDM Analysis: STVG.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.42 - $8.97	$6.17
Multi-Stage	$5.49 - $6.01	$5.75
Blended Fair Value	$5.96
Current Price	$1.75
Upside	240.58%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-7.67%	12.29%	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	0.16	0.15	0.13	0.09	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.92%	1.96%	15.91%	0.00%	-100.00%	10.14%	11.29%	44.19%	26.47%	112.50%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.94%	5.66%	3.95%	2.69%	0.00%	3.94%	4.22%	4.06%	2.60%	1.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	12.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.40	1.50	0.90
Cash Retained (M)	1.80	1.80	1.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.40	-1.50	-0.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.60	0.30	0.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	46.67	46.67	46.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.22	0.22	0.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.21	0.22	0.24
WACC / Discount Rate	7.33%	7.33%	7.33%
Growth Rate	2.56%	3.56%	4.56%
Fair Value	$4.42	$6.17	$8.97
Upside / Downside	152.53%	252.80%	412.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	12.00	12.43	12.87	13.33	13.80	14.29	14.72
Payout Ratio	85.00%	86.00%	87.00%	88.00%	89.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10.20	10.69	11.20	11.73	12.28	12.86	13.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.33%	7.33%	7.33%
Growth Rate	2.56%	3.56%	4.56%
Year 1 PV (M)	9.86	9.96	10.05
Year 2 PV (M)	9.53	9.72	9.91
Year 3 PV (M)	9.21	9.48	9.76
Year 4 PV (M)	8.90	9.26	9.62
Year 5 PV (M)	8.60	9.03	9.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)	210.28	220.73	231.60
Equity Value (M)	256.39	268.18	280.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	46.67	46.67	46.67
Fair Value	$5.49	$5.75	$6.01
Upside / Downside	213.93%	228.37%	243.35%

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STV Group plc (STVG.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener