DDM Analysis: SELIC.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$37.60 - $44.30	$41.52
Multi-Stage	$9.53 - $10.44	$9.98
Blended Fair Value	$25.75
Current Price	$2.70
Upside	853.56%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	104.73%	0.00%	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	52.66%	435.97%	-88.11%	824.70%	299.82%	-92.65%	-49.05%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.17%	0.89%	0.15%	1.32%	0.17%	0.09%	0.67%	1.96%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	136.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	23.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)	112.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	27.22	17.01	10.21
Cash Retained (M)	112.90	112.90	112.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-27.22	-17.01	-10.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)	85.67	95.88	102.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	611.04	611.04	611.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.16	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.16	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.18	0.19	0.21
WACC / Discount Rate	5.41%	5.41%	5.41%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$37.60	$41.52	$44.30
Upside / Downside	1,292.64%	1,437.63%	1,540.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	136.11	144.96	154.38	164.42	175.10	186.49	192.08
Payout Ratio	17.06%	31.65%	46.23%	60.82%	75.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	23.22	45.87	71.38	100.00	132.05	167.84	177.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.41%	5.41%	5.41%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	43.11	43.52	43.93
Year 2 PV (M)	63.04	64.24	65.45
Year 3 PV (M)	83.00	85.38	87.81
Year 4 PV (M)	103.00	106.96	111.03
Year 5 PV (M)	123.03	128.97	135.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,405.77	5,666.87	5,937.97
Equity Value (M)	5,820.95	6,095.95	6,381.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	611.04	611.04	611.04
Fair Value	$9.53	$9.98	$10.44
Upside / Downside	252.83%	269.49%	286.79%

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Selic Corp Public Company Limited (SELIC.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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