DDM Analysis: PPGL.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$915.78 - $2,190.25	$2,052.59
Multi-Stage	$326.10 - $356.65	$341.10
Blended Fair Value	$1,196.84
Current Price	$110.00
Upside	988.04%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	38.40%	0.00%	10.54	4.00	8.99	0.00	1.95	2.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	163.42%	-55.50%	0.00%	-100.00%	-6.25%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.43%	4.60%	7.43%	0.00%	2.14%	1.71%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	8,493.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,041.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,452.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,698.63	1,061.64	636.99
Cash Retained (M)	3,452.05	3,452.05	3,452.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,698.63	-1,061.64	-636.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,753.42	2,390.41	2,815.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	771.18	771.18	771.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.27	3.10	3.65
LTM Dividend per Share	6.54	6.54	6.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.27	3.10	3.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8.81	9.64	10.19
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$915.78	$2,052.59	$2,190.25
Upside / Downside	732.53%	1,765.99%	1,891.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	8,493.15	9,045.20	9,633.14	10,259.29	10,926.15	11,636.35	11,985.44
Payout Ratio	59.35%	65.48%	71.61%	77.74%	83.87%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,041.10	5,923.15	6,898.57	7,975.78	9,163.87	10,472.71	11,086.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,508.65	5,560.86	5,613.08
Year 2 PV (M)	5,966.83	6,080.48	6,195.20
Year 3 PV (M)	6,415.78	6,599.95	6,787.62
Year 4 PV (M)	6,855.63	7,119.27	7,390.46
Year 5 PV (M)	7,286.51	7,638.45	8,003.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)	219,447.70	230,047.10	241,052.17
Equity Value (M)	251,481.09	263,046.12	275,042.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	771.18	771.18	771.18
Fair Value	$326.10	$341.10	$356.65
Upside / Downside	196.45%	210.09%	224.23%

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PT Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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