Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Pipestone Energy Corp. (PIPE.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.79 - $5.42$4.59
Multi-Stage$5.74 - $6.32$6.03
Blended Fair Value$5.31
Current Price$2.27
Upside133.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.140.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---78.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.07%2.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)157.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.4219.6411.78
Cash Retained (M)148.69148.69148.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.42-19.64-11.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)117.28129.06136.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)282.80282.80282.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.490.51
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.79$4.59$5.42
Upside / Downside67.02%102.14%138.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)157.09155.52153.97152.43150.90149.39153.87
Payout Ratio5.35%22.28%39.21%56.14%73.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4034.6560.3785.57110.26134.45142.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)31.3231.6431.96
Year 2 PV (M)49.3550.3651.38
Year 3 PV (M)63.2465.2067.19
Year 4 PV (M)73.6876.7379.88
Year 5 PV (M)81.2385.4689.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,325.721,394.751,466.63
Equity Value (M)1,624.541,704.151,786.91
Shares Outstanding (M)282.80282.80282.80
Fair Value$5.74$6.03$6.32
Upside / Downside153.06%165.46%178.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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