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Definitive Analysis

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Nawi Brothers Group Ltd (NAWI.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,150.94 - $1,406.92$1,318.49
Multi-Stage$243.12 - $266.16$254.43
Blended Fair Value$786.46
Current Price$51.65
Upside1,422.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%14.11%2.861.122.552.460.000.000.900.261.590.83
YoY Growth--154.14%-55.96%3.81%0.00%0.00%-100.00%248.93%-83.67%91.55%8.44%
Dividend Yield--6.03%4.07%9.33%8.01%0.00%0.00%4.62%1.40%5.88%3.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)231.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)107.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.3228.9517.37
Cash Retained (M)124.22124.22124.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.32-28.95-17.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)77.9095.27106.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.7432.7432.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.382.913.26
LTM Dividend per Share3.283.283.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.382.913.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.666.196.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,150.94$1,318.49$1,406.92
Upside / Downside2,128.34%2,452.74%2,623.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)231.60246.65262.68279.76297.94317.31326.83
Payout Ratio46.36%55.09%63.82%72.54%81.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)107.37135.88167.64202.95242.14285.58302.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)126.96128.17129.37
Year 2 PV (M)146.36149.14151.96
Year 3 PV (M)165.56170.31175.15
Year 4 PV (M)184.57191.67198.97
Year 5 PV (M)203.39213.21223.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,132.307,476.797,834.47
Equity Value (M)7,959.138,329.298,713.32
Shares Outstanding (M)32.7432.7432.74
Fair Value$243.12$254.43$266.16
Upside / Downside370.71%392.60%415.31%

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