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Definitive Analysis

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Muramoto Electron (Thailand) Public Company Limited (METCO.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$521.82 - $821.97$659.29
Multi-Stage$1,046.73 - $1,152.86$1,098.75
Blended Fair Value$879.02
Current Price$221.00
Upside297.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.36%-1.17%8.0010.0018.0014.0010.0010.0013.008.0014.0018.00
YoY Growth---20.00%-44.44%28.57%40.00%0.00%-23.08%62.50%-42.86%-22.22%100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.62%5.76%7.44%4.95%3.76%5.00%7.47%3.96%6.03%7.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,099.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)167.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)932.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)219.99137.4982.50
Cash Retained (M)932.75932.75932.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-219.99-137.49-82.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)712.76795.26850.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.9020.9020.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.1138.0540.68
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.1138.0540.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend42.1146.0548.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Fair Value$521.82$659.29$821.97
Upside / Downside136.12%198.32%271.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,099.941,096.751,093.581,090.411,087.261,084.111,116.63
Payout Ratio15.20%30.16%45.12%60.08%75.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)167.19330.78493.42655.12815.88975.701,032.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Year 1 PV (M)306.97310.08313.19
Year 2 PV (M)424.94433.60442.34
Year 3 PV (M)523.59539.67556.07
Year 4 PV (M)605.14630.04655.69
Year 5 PV (M)671.59706.31742.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,343.1820,343.0221,383.79
Equity Value (M)21,875.4122,962.7124,093.52
Shares Outstanding (M)20.9020.9020.90
Fair Value$1,046.73$1,098.75$1,152.86
Upside / Downside373.63%397.17%421.66%

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