Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Ace Oldfields Tbk (KUAS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.72 - $123.51$100.71
Multi-Stage$172.55 - $189.98$181.09
Blended Fair Value$140.90
Current Price$50.00
Upside181.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%2.501.601.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--56.25%60.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.00%3.14%1.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,630.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,878.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,752.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,326.121,453.82872.29
Cash Retained (M)7,752.177,752.177,752.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,326.12-1,453.82-872.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,426.056,298.346,879.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,292.811,292.811,292.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.204.875.32
LTM Dividend per Share3.003.003.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.204.875.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.207.878.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$80.72$100.71$123.51
Upside / Downside61.44%101.43%147.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,630.5911,514.2811,399.1411,285.1511,172.3011,060.5711,392.39
Payout Ratio33.35%44.68%56.01%67.34%78.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,878.425,144.286,384.447,599.278,789.179,954.5210,537.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,770.874,819.554,868.23
Year 2 PV (M)5,491.205,603.845,717.62
Year 3 PV (M)6,061.636,249.096,440.38
Year 4 PV (M)6,501.876,771.347,049.10
Year 5 PV (M)6,829.407,185.037,555.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)193,419.24203,491.03213,978.09
Equity Value (M)223,074.22234,119.88245,608.73
Shares Outstanding (M)1,292.811,292.811,292.81
Fair Value$172.55$181.09$189.98
Upside / Downside245.10%262.19%279.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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