Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Indomobil Multi Jasa Tbk (IMJS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,080.79 - $5,121.39$4,799.02
Multi-Stage$1,330.09 - $1,460.48$1,394.06
Blended Fair Value$3,096.54
Current Price$244.00
Upside1,169.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.38%-10.22%0.950.500.250.250.000.670.700.800.002.90
YoY Growth--90.36%100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-4.41%-13.01%69,288.00%-99.96%3.57%
Dividend Yield--0.56%0.18%0.09%0.06%0.00%0.45%0.10%0.16%0.00%1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)225,219.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,322.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)216,897.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45,043.9828,152.4916,891.49
Cash Retained (M)216,897.52216,897.52216,897.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-45,043.98-28,152.49-16,891.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)171,853.53188,745.03200,006.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,655.238,655.238,655.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share19.8621.8123.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.960.960.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share19.8621.8123.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.8222.7724.07
WACC / Discount Rate4.92%4.92%4.92%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Fair Value$4,080.79$4,799.02$5,121.39
Upside / Downside1,572.46%1,866.81%1,998.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)225,219.92237,352.19250,138.01263,612.58277,813.01292,778.40301,561.75
Payout Ratio3.70%20.96%38.22%55.48%72.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,322.4049,739.9795,595.60146,247.24202,078.54263,500.56278,944.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.92%4.92%4.92%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Year 1 PV (M)46,957.9747,407.8147,857.66
Year 2 PV (M)85,201.1486,841.3788,497.24
Year 3 PV (M)123,054.91126,625.40130,264.30
Year 4 PV (M)160,522.24166,762.25173,182.43
Year 5 PV (M)197,606.08207,254.26217,275.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,898,867.3811,431,007.8611,983,733.83
Equity Value (M)11,512,209.7112,065,898.9412,640,811.12
Shares Outstanding (M)8,655.238,655.238,655.23
Fair Value$1,330.09$1,394.06$1,460.48
Upside / Downside445.12%471.34%498.56%

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