DDM Analysis: HELN.SW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$160.47 - $276.58	$210.50
Multi-Stage	$286.37 - $314.13	$299.99
Blended Fair Value	$255.24
Current Price	$186.10
Upside	37.15%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.22%	7.85%	6.65	6.37	6.09	5.52	5.19	4.92	4.72	4.38	4.02	3.90
YoY Growth	-	-	4.48%	4.56%	10.36%	6.21%	5.60%	4.20%	7.75%	8.91%	3.04%	24.94%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.45%	5.49%	5.65%	5.14%	5.56%	3.60%	4.11%	3.99%	3.67%	3.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	671.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	514.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)	156.95

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	134.24	83.90	50.34
Cash Retained (M)	156.95	156.95	156.95
(-) Cash Required (M)	-134.24	-83.90	-50.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	22.71	73.05	106.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	53.01	53.01	53.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.43	1.38	2.01
LTM Dividend per Share	9.70	9.70	9.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.43	1.38	2.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.13	11.08	11.71
WACC / Discount Rate	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%
Growth Rate	0.34%	1.34%	2.34%
Fair Value	$160.47	$210.50	$276.58
Upside / Downside	-13.77%	13.11%	48.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	671.20	680.20	689.31	698.55	707.91	717.40	738.92
Payout Ratio	76.62%	79.29%	81.97%	84.65%	87.32%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	514.25	539.35	565.03	591.30	618.17	645.66	683.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%
Growth Rate	0.34%	1.34%	2.34%
Year 1 PV (M)	500.62	505.60	510.59
Year 2 PV (M)	486.79	496.54	506.39
Year 3 PV (M)	472.83	487.11	501.68
Year 4 PV (M)	458.82	477.39	496.51
Year 5 PV (M)	444.81	467.42	490.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	12,816.33	13,467.84	14,145.57
Equity Value (M)	15,180.20	15,901.90	16,651.68
Shares Outstanding (M)	53.01	53.01	53.01
Fair Value	$286.37	$299.99	$314.13
Upside / Downside	53.88%	61.20%	68.80%

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Helvetia Holding AG (HELN.SW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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