DDM Analysis: ELIS.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$122.21 - $456.65	$365.41
Multi-Stage	$66.61 - $72.95	$69.72
Blended Fair Value	$217.56
Current Price	$24.34
Upside	793.85%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.52%	0.00%	0.38	0.23	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.31	0.30	0.19	0.15	0.15
YoY Growth	-	-	64.18%	85.84%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.25%	56.67%	29.90%	-0.20%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.02%	1.23%	0.90%	0.00%	0.00%	1.65%	2.09%	0.84%	0.93%	1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	614.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	206.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)	407.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	122.80	76.75	46.05
Cash Retained (M)	407.60	407.60	407.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-122.80	-76.75	-46.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	284.80	330.85	361.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	265.82	265.82	265.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.07	1.24	1.36
LTM Dividend per Share	0.78	0.78	0.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.07	1.24	1.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.85	2.02	2.14
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	4.86%	5.86%	6.86%
Fair Value	$122.21	$365.41	$456.65
Upside / Downside	402.11%	1,401.27%	1,776.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	614.00	650.00	688.11	728.46	771.17	816.39	840.88
Payout Ratio	33.62%	44.89%	56.17%	67.45%	78.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	206.40	291.80	386.51	491.32	607.09	734.75	777.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	4.86%	5.86%	6.86%
Year 1 PV (M)	271.53	274.12	276.71
Year 2 PV (M)	334.68	341.10	347.57
Year 3 PV (M)	395.89	407.32	418.98
Year 4 PV (M)	455.20	472.81	490.93
Year 5 PV (M)	512.65	537.57	563.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,735.05	16,499.76	17,293.91
Equity Value (M)	17,705.00	18,532.68	19,391.55
Shares Outstanding (M)	265.82	265.82	265.82
Fair Value	$66.61	$69.72	$72.95
Upside / Downside	173.64%	186.44%	199.71%

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Elis S.A. (ELIS.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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