Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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DLocal Limited (DLO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.55 - $6.77$5.61
Multi-Stage$9.04 - $9.91$9.47
Blended Fair Value$7.54
Current Price$11.34
Upside-33.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.050.030.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.15%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)170.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)149.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.1921.3712.82
Cash Retained (M)20.9720.9720.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.19-21.37-12.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.22-0.408.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)304.09304.09304.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.000.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.000.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.55$5.61$6.77
Upside / Downside-59.87%-50.55%-40.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)170.95169.24167.55165.87164.21162.57167.45
Payout Ratio87.74%88.19%88.64%89.09%89.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)149.98149.25148.51147.78147.05146.31154.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)137.20138.60140.00
Year 2 PV (M)125.50128.07130.67
Year 3 PV (M)114.80118.35121.97
Year 4 PV (M)105.00109.35113.84
Year 5 PV (M)96.04101.04106.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,170.312,283.322,401.00
Equity Value (M)2,748.852,878.743,013.73
Shares Outstanding (M)304.09304.09304.09
Fair Value$9.04$9.47$9.91
Upside / Downside-20.29%-16.52%-12.60%

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