Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Superior Prima Sukses Tbk. (BLES.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$121.21 - $189.36$152.60
Multi-Stage$286.06 - $315.24$300.36
Blended Fair Value$226.48
Current Price$175.00
Upside29.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%3.366.775.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---50.37%20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.82%2.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)111,889.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32,017.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)79,871.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22,377.9213,986.208,391.72
Cash Retained (M)79,871.8879,871.8879,871.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-22,377.92-13,986.20-8,391.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)57,493.9565,885.6871,480.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,857.368,857.368,857.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.497.448.07
LTM Dividend per Share3.613.613.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.497.448.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.1111.0511.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.17%6.17%6.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$121.21$152.60$189.36
Upside / Downside-30.74%-12.80%8.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)111,889.62110,770.72109,663.02108,566.39107,480.72106,405.92109,598.09
Payout Ratio28.62%40.89%53.17%65.45%77.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32,017.7445,296.7858,307.0471,052.5683,537.3495,765.32101,378.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.17%6.17%6.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)42,233.0842,664.0343,094.98
Year 2 PV (M)50,686.4551,726.1452,776.39
Year 3 PV (M)57,588.5459,369.5061,186.81
Year 4 PV (M)63,128.0565,744.4168,441.27
Year 5 PV (M)67,473.8470,987.3674,645.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,252,635.372,369,935.332,492,071.63
Equity Value (M)2,533,745.332,660,426.772,792,216.83
Shares Outstanding (M)8,857.368,857.368,857.36
Fair Value$286.06$300.36$315.24
Upside / Downside63.46%71.64%80.14%

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