DDM Analysis: BILI-A.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$240.97 - $1,084.32	$421.73
Multi-Stage	$189.78 - $207.42	$198.44
Blended Fair Value	$310.08
Current Price	$115.00
Upside	169.64%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.41%	11.30%	7.09	8.50	5.98	6.31	0.00	5.19	4.90	4.43	4.09	3.25
YoY Growth	-	-	-16.69%	42.27%	-5.28%	0.00%	-100.00%	5.92%	10.68%	8.42%	25.83%	33.63%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.51%	6.25%	4.67%	4.69%	0.00%	8.47%	6.11%	5.99%	4.42%	3.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	727.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	566.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	161.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	145.40	90.88	54.53
Cash Retained (M)	161.00	161.00	161.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-145.40	-90.88	-54.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	15.60	70.13	106.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	93.01	93.01	93.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.75	1.14
LTM Dividend per Share	6.09	6.09	6.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.75	1.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.25	6.84	7.23
WACC / Discount Rate	7.12%	7.12%	7.12%
Growth Rate	4.41%	5.41%	6.41%
Fair Value	$240.97	$421.73	$1,084.32
Upside / Downside	109.54%	266.72%	842.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	727.00	766.34	807.81	851.52	897.60	946.17	974.56
Payout Ratio	77.85%	80.28%	82.71%	85.14%	87.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	566.00	615.24	668.16	725.00	786.04	851.55	901.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.12%	7.12%	7.12%
Growth Rate	4.41%	5.41%	6.41%
Year 1 PV (M)	568.90	574.35	579.79
Year 2 PV (M)	571.28	582.28	593.38
Year 3 PV (M)	573.19	589.82	606.76
Year 4 PV (M)	574.63	596.96	619.94
Year 5 PV (M)	575.63	603.73	632.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)	14,787.51	15,509.34	16,259.09
Equity Value (M)	17,651.14	18,456.47	19,291.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	93.01	93.01	93.01
Fair Value	$189.78	$198.44	$207.42
Upside / Downside	65.03%	72.56%	80.37%

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Bilia AB (publ) (BILI-A.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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