DDM Analysis: BBMD.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,236.62 - $2,271.44	$1,663.79
Multi-Stage	$1,787.89 - $1,961.66	$1,873.13
Blended Fair Value	$1,768.46
Current Price	$2,120.00
Upside	-16.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	5.60%	34.25	34.25	34.24	29.77	0.00	0.00	14.89	14.89	14.89	12.40
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.03%	15.01%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	20.05%	-37.53%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.76%	1.70%	1.75%	1.45%	0.00%	0.00%	1.08%	1.06%	0.96%	0.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	342,869.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	137,997.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	204,871.93

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	68,573.89	42,858.68	25,715.21
Cash Retained (M)	204,871.93	204,871.93	204,871.93
(-) Cash Required (M)	-68,573.89	-42,858.68	-25,715.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)	136,298.04	162,013.25	179,156.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,029.13	4,029.13	4,029.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	33.83	40.21	44.47
LTM Dividend per Share	34.25	34.25	34.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	33.83	40.21	44.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend	68.08	74.46	78.72
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	1.45%	2.45%	3.45%
Fair Value	$1,236.62	$1,663.79	$2,271.44
Upside / Downside	-41.67%	-21.52%	7.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	342,869.45	351,269.54	359,875.43	368,692.15	377,724.88	386,978.91	398,588.27
Payout Ratio	40.25%	50.20%	60.15%	70.10%	80.05%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	137,997.52	176,331.21	216,460.39	258,450.00	302,367.13	348,281.02	368,694.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	1.45%	2.45%	3.45%
Year 1 PV (M)	163,133.73	164,741.75	166,349.77
Year 2 PV (M)	185,271.04	188,941.51	192,647.97
Year 3 PV (M)	204,653.99	210,765.71	216,997.92
Year 4 PV (M)	221,509.73	230,373.47	239,500.60
Year 5 PV (M)	236,049.24	247,914.64	260,252.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,193,029.34	6,504,332.10	6,828,029.38
Equity Value (M)	7,203,647.07	7,547,069.18	7,903,778.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,029.13	4,029.13	4,029.13
Fair Value	$1,787.89	$1,873.13	$1,961.66
Upside / Downside	-15.67%	-11.64%	-7.47%

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PT Bank Mestika Dharma Tbk (BBMD.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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