Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sendas Distribuidora S.A. (ASAI3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.15 - $32.95$20.75
Multi-Stage$9.95 - $10.88$10.41
Blended Fair Value$15.58
Current Price$9.51
Upside63.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.090.120.110.360.220.090.060.100.37
YoY Growth---100.00%-29.76%13.51%-69.73%63.55%160.00%41.98%-42.14%-72.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.62%0.80%0.67%2.45%1.55%0.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)918.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)128.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)790.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)183.60114.7568.85
Cash Retained (M)790.00790.00790.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-183.60-114.75-68.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)606.40675.25721.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,352.451,352.451,352.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.500.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.500.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.63
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.15$20.75$32.95
Upside / Downside48.80%118.20%246.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)918.00977.671,041.221,108.901,180.981,257.741,295.47
Payout Ratio13.94%29.15%44.37%59.58%74.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)128.00285.04461.95660.65883.241,131.971,198.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)257.75260.19262.64
Year 2 PV (M)377.73384.93392.19
Year 3 PV (M)488.50502.52516.81
Year 4 PV (M)590.56613.27636.64
Year 5 PV (M)684.42717.47751.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,064.4811,598.9012,153.78
Equity Value (M)13,463.4514,077.3014,713.85
Shares Outstanding (M)1,352.451,352.451,352.45
Fair Value$9.95$10.41$10.88
Upside / Downside4.68%9.45%14.40%

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