Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers S.A. (ALSO3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$547.48 - $1,447.29$1,356.32
Multi-Stage$201.80 - $221.07$211.26
Blended Fair Value$783.79
Current Price$22.59
Upside3,369.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS24.01%15.35%0.230.140.000.200.080.080.080.080.080.06
YoY Growth--69.97%0.00%-100.00%146.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%30.00%9.37%
Dividend Yield--1.34%0.60%0.00%0.74%0.27%0.33%0.36%0.50%0.42%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,158.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)292.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,865.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)631.66394.79236.87
Cash Retained (M)2,865.422,865.422,865.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-631.66-394.79-236.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,233.752,470.632,628.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)433.99433.99433.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.155.696.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.155.696.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.826.376.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$547.48$1,356.32$1,447.29
Upside / Downside2,323.56%5,904.07%6,306.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,158.313,363.603,582.233,815.084,063.064,327.164,456.97
Payout Ratio9.27%25.42%41.56%57.71%73.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)292.89854.991,488.932,201.663,000.763,894.444,122.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)794.36801.89809.42
Year 2 PV (M)1,285.251,309.731,334.44
Year 3 PV (M)1,765.711,816.401,868.05
Year 4 PV (M)2,235.932,321.912,410.36
Year 5 PV (M)2,696.052,826.272,961.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)78,800.7182,606.8286,558.59
Equity Value (M)87,578.0191,683.0295,942.33
Shares Outstanding (M)433.99433.99433.99
Fair Value$201.80$211.26$221.07
Upside / Downside793.30%835.17%878.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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