DDM Analysis: ALIG.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,103.66 - $1,300.30	$1,218.57
Multi-Stage	$782.08 - $858.17	$819.42
Blended Fair Value	$1,019.00
Current Price	$154.80
Upside	558.27%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.25%	0.00%	2.49	1.83	1.66	1.52	0.89	1.40	1.17	0.82	0.82	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	36.60%	10.23%	8.91%	71.37%	-36.58%	19.34%	43.71%	0.05%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.89%	1.88%	2.24%	1.93%	0.85%	2.14%	1.15%	0.86%	0.82%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	695.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	317.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	378.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	139.00	86.88	52.13
Cash Retained (M)	378.00	378.00	378.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-139.00	-86.88	-52.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	239.00	291.13	325.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	106.30	106.30	106.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.25	2.74	3.07
LTM Dividend per Share	2.98	2.98	2.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.25	2.74	3.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.23	5.72	6.05
WACC / Discount Rate	1.51%	1.51%	1.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,103.66	$1,218.57	$1,300.30
Upside / Downside	612.96%	687.19%	739.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	695.00	740.18	788.29	839.52	894.09	952.21	980.78
Payout Ratio	45.61%	54.49%	63.37%	72.24%	81.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	317.00	403.32	499.51	606.51	725.31	856.99	907.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.51%	1.51%	1.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	393.58	397.31	401.04
Year 2 PV (M)	475.68	484.74	493.88
Year 3 PV (M)	563.62	579.80	596.29
Year 4 PV (M)	657.74	683.04	709.06
Year 5 PV (M)	758.39	795.02	833.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)	80,283.88	84,161.62	88,187.77
Equity Value (M)	83,132.89	87,101.53	91,221.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	106.30	106.30	106.30
Fair Value	$782.08	$819.42	$858.17
Upside / Downside	405.22%	429.34%	454.38%

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Alimak Group AB (publ) (ALIG.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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