DDM Analysis: ALGEV.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$690.22 - $3,321.48	$1,224.51
Multi-Stage	$593.84 - $650.64	$621.71
Blended Fair Value	$923.11
Current Price	$185.00
Upside	398.98%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.51%	9.09%	5.13	3.99	3.06	2.13	1.63	2.02	1.84	1.96	1.96	2.23
YoY Growth	-	-	28.69%	30.22%	43.48%	30.58%	-19.04%	9.65%	-6.15%	0.00%	-12.17%	3.88%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.77%	1.92%	1.65%	1.31%	1.00%	1.01%	1.03%	0.99%	1.35%	1.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)	9.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.32	2.08	1.25
Cash Retained (M)	9.63	9.63	9.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.32	-2.08	-1.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6.31	7.55	8.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.75	0.75	0.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	8.36	10.01	11.11
LTM Dividend per Share	9.24	9.24	9.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share	8.36	10.01	11.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.60	19.25	20.35
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	3.89%	4.89%	5.89%
Fair Value	$690.22	$1,224.51	$3,321.48
Upside / Downside	273.09%	561.90%	1,695.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16.60	17.41	18.26	19.16	20.09	21.08	21.71
Payout Ratio	42.01%	51.61%	61.21%	70.80%	80.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.97	8.99	11.18	13.56	16.16	18.97	20.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	3.89%	4.89%	5.89%
Year 1 PV (M)	8.35	8.43	8.52
Year 2 PV (M)	9.66	9.85	10.04
Year 3 PV (M)	10.90	11.22	11.54
Year 4 PV (M)	12.07	12.54	13.02
Year 5 PV (M)	13.17	13.82	14.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)	394.00	413.33	433.41
Equity Value (M)	448.15	469.19	491.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.75	0.75	0.75
Fair Value	$593.84	$621.71	$650.64
Upside / Downside	220.99%	236.06%	251.69%

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Gévelot S.A. (ALGEV.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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